Southern Indiana is a diverse and varied land. Take this recent article in Time Magazine as an example:
Perry County, home to Tell City (pop. 7,500), is known as a stronghold of Democrats, albeit more so of the Dixiecrat variety -- President Bush carried the county in 2000 and 2004. It delivered one of Obama's lowest tallies in last May's Indiana Democratic primary, when he captured just 35% of the vote against 65% for Sen. Hillary Clinton. Tell City's mayor, Barbara Ewing, was a staunch Clinton supporter partly because, she says, "She's been in politics for years. I thought we could get two [Clintons] for one."
Still, she says, once Obama won the nomination, local Democrats swung behind him. "We saw enthusiasm for Barack ," she says of the night local party activists gathered to watch the TV broadcast of his acceptance speech. "People realized that as voters, as Hoosiers, this is a crucial time for our country." Given Southern Indiana's social conservatism, Ewing concedes some voters may be energized by Palin. So, what role will Obama's blackness play in a region with no deep record of electing people of color? "In reality," Ewing said, carefully choosing her words as she at a bench outside city hall, "I think it could be an issue for some people here. That's just the sad truth."
But Obama has other factors working in his favor: His campaign has built an extensive grassroots network with 32 field offices in the state. He is familiar to voters in Indiana's Northwest corner, which falls within the Chicago media market. And he is also expected to perform well in Indianapolis, given its large black population.
McCain campaign's structure here is comparatively weak. Rather than opening dedicated field offices, the campaign has bundled operations in county Republican headquarters that also manage outreach for Gov. Daniels' reelection bid. In Perry County, and certainly much of the state, McCain is hardly visible against the "Farmers for Obama" signs attached to scores of trees along two-lane roads.
So why do I say that southern Indiana is so diverse?
No, I'm not being sarcastic with regard to a certain quote by a Democrat about other Democrats in the aforementioned article.
I live in southern Indiana, and I have never once seen one of these "Farmers for Obama" signs. That doesn't mean that they aren't around (though Perry County is only twenty or so miles from Corydon as the crow flies). It just means that southern Indiana is diverse.
And on a recent drive up to Bloomington a bit more than a week ago, I noticed that Obama signs of any sort were similarly thin on the ground until you got into Monroe County and Bloomington. You don't see a lot of them around in any of the other counties either.
I wouldn't say that Democrats or the Obama campaign created a Potempkin village in Perry County for the benefit of Time Magazine. That would require an extraordinary level of cynicism, and I'm not that cynical. Instead, one must reason that southern Indiana is just really diverse (and there are union mine workers in Perry County).
But to say from the isolated example of Perry County that there is a vast Obama groundswell here is just laughable. McCain-Palin signs were sparse on the ground until about a week ago, when the signs started to arrive, but the demand for signs and the support for the ticket was substantial and somewhat surprising. Obama, who seems to have no lack of signs, has the opposite problem and seems to lack demand for them. Perry County is clearly the exception, rather than the rule.
Yesterday, I marked an important milestone. I saw the sixth Obama yard sign in Harrison County; they appear so infrequently in yards that I can easily count and keep track of them. And that count of six includes those that were blown away in the recent wind storm. Jill Long Thompson signs are similarly scarce. Mitch signs are sparse on the ground, but that's because the regional coordinator hasn't gotten off of his rear end and brought us some signs.
The windows of the county Democratic headquarters are plastered with the signs of various party nominees. Every candidate is represented, except Barack Obama. At a recent festival, the Democrats had a booth, replete with candidate yard signs. No Obama signs were to be seen, though they did have a lone "McSame" yard sign (which they got from somewhere after the first day and put out on day two in response to the "NOBAMA" and "Sarah!" yard signs at the nearby GOP booth).
By contrast and comparison, we got our first shipment of McCain-Palin yard signs last Thursday night, and we started giving them out on Friday afternoon. Over a hundred people had already signed up requesting a yard sign in advance of their arrival, and at least that many again didn't want to sign up but said they would check back again once they saw the signs start to show up in yards.
We ordered 275 McCain Palin yard signs (and have more on the way this week). By Monday evening, there were 115 left at county party headquarters (I counted them). That means that we gave out 160 yard signs in four days. Compare that to the total of six Obama yard signs I mentioned above.
I'd imagine that, if the Time Magazine folks came to Harrison County to do their story instead of Perry County, they would conclude the opposite of their above assertion. Their piece could very well say "In Harrison County, and certainly much of the state, Obama is hardly visible against the blue and white 'McCain-Palin' signs present in scores of yards."
Like I said, southern Indiana is diverse.