Senate Race Poll Coming Soon

From Fox News:

In recent days, the blog buzz in the Indiana Senate race has been about a poll nobody's seen. Erick Erickson of Redstate described it this way:

"There is a rumor of a poll that went out in Indiana that was then not made public. Well, heck, I only call it a rumor because it happened but nobody wants to talk about it. My guess is, based on the Coats campaign’s behavior, the poll was either done for them or the results then given to them, making it an NRSC poll. That it has not been leaked means it could not be good news for Dan Coats."

It turns out there IS a poll. It IS coming out tomorrow (April 29th). It IS a Survey USA poll (as many speculated/guessed/reported). But it IS NOT a Dan Coats internal poll. It was commissioned by the (take a deep breath before saying this aloud) Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics at Indiana University-Purdue University Ft. Wayne.

The release of the poll is scheduled for Thursday "morning". When I get it. I WILL post it.

This poll will be out just five-days before Primary Day (May 4th).

I suspect that this poll will be a clarifying moment for a lot of conservatives.

If it indicates one particular conservative (whether Hostettler or Stutzman) pulling away or close in with Dan Coats, I think that many conservative Republican primary voters will engage in strategic voting and will rally to whichever of the two conservatives (Stutzman or Hostettler) is seen as having the best chance of beating Coats.

Of course, there have also been rumors (unsubstantiated, as far as I can tell) in the Twitter-verse that the poll shows Coats in third behind Hostettler and Stutzman.